More Americans than not believe it is likely that the United States will see a civil war over the next decade, according to a recent poll.
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The U.S. has seen an uptick in political polarization, as well as growing political unrest in recent weeks, such as the assassination of Minnesota politician Melissa Hortman and protests over President Donald Trump‘s immigration policies in Los Angeles turning violent earlier in June.
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Americans are split about whether there could be a civil war on the horizon, according to a new survey from YouGov.
Twelve percent said a civil war is very likely, and 28 percent said one is somewhat likely to occur. That 40 percent of respondents is notably a higher percentage than those who said a civil war is unlikely. Twenty-two percent said a civil war is not very likely, while 17 percent said a civil war is not likely at all.
An additional 18 percent said they are not sure if a civil war is likely, while 3 percent responded that they prefer not to share their view on the matter.
Democrats were more likely to view a civil war as likely than Republicans. {snip}
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Nina Silber, a professor of history at Boston University specializing in the U.S. Civil War, told Newsweek that the poll numbers are unsurprising to her. However, she said a civil war “as we envision it from the nineteenth century is probably not what we’re looking at today.”
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“To me, evidence of ‘civil conflict’ continues to increase, especially in terms of the increase in political violence,” she said. “And while acts of violence occur on both sides of the political divide, I am particularly worried about political officials who have been stoking and encouraging political violence, who make it an almost accepted part of our culture.”
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