Foreign nationals are significantly more likely to be identified as suspects in Bavaria than German citizens, according to a report from the Bavarian state government in response to a parliamentary inquiry by AfD member Martin Böhm.
The suspect burden number (TVBZ), a key metric, indicates the number of suspects per 100,000 people within a population group aged eight and over. This figure allows for a comparison of crime levels across different demographic segments.
Overall, despite making up approximately 18 percent of Bavaria’s population, which amounts to 2.4 million people, foreign nationals accounted for almost half of all suspects in criminal cases in 2024.
When it comes to sexual offenses, foreigners account for 43 percent (532 out of 1,223) of the alleged perpetrators were non-German nationals.
For robbery, they make up 49 percent of all suspects.
For serious bodily harm and violent crime, they make up 47 percent of all suspects.
For murder and manslaughter, they make up 40 percent of all suspects.
Certain populations were extremely problematic.
For violent crimes, individuals of Turkish, Ukrainian, or Romanian nationalities were about four times more likely to be suspected than Germans.
AfD parliament member Böhm noted that these trends were consistent across various crime categories.
The Bavarian state government did not provide suspect figures for all nationalities, citing potential inaccuracies if the population group was under 100,000. This meant that Syrians (93,360), Afghans (61,656), and Iraqis (34,478) were all kept out of the report.
However, Böhm highlighted that data for Poles and Italians were also withheld, despite their populations exceeding 100,000.
Böhm did his own calculations and found the Syrians and Afghans were 13 times more likely to commit a violent crime than a German citizen.
For sexual offenses, Afghans were 18 times more likely and Syrians seven times more likely to be suspects than Germans.
For murder and manslaughter, Afghans were almost five times and Syrians almost 10 times more likely to be suspects than Germans.
In cases of dangerous and serious physical injuries, both Afghans and Syrians were 13 times more likely to be suspects than Germans.
It should be noted that German citizens with a foreign background are not counted separately in the statistics, as neighboring Denmark does. Foreigners who received German citizenship, or migrants who had parents or grandparents who were migrants, are counted in the statistics as Germans. In cases where suspects have a dual passport, they are always counted as only “German” in the crime statistics. This is also no small number, amounting to approximately 3 million people in Germany, and this group may account for a substantial share of criminality.
Remix News recently reported on TVBZ numbers nationwide, which showed that foreign youths are massively overrepresented in the crime statistics compared to German youths.
Violent crime hit record highs last year, with foreigners accounting for 39 percent of all crimes and nearly six in ten cases of violent crime.
It should also be no surprise that foreigners are vastly overrepresented regarding crime in Bavaria. Just last year, the state’s Interior Minister Joachim Herrmann said an increasing migrant population has contributed significantly to a spike in crime across Bavaria.
“We will not accept the increase in crime, even if it is a nationwide trend for which foreigners and immigrants are particularly responsible,” Herrmann said in a press release on Monday.
“We have commissioned the State Criminal Police Office and our police headquarters to analyze crime developments in detail in order to adapt operational concepts and police presence if necessary,” he added.
“The crime statistics make it clear that uncontrolled immigration also has a negative impact on the security situation,” Herrmann said.
Despite all of Hermann’s calls for action, however, the crime crisis shows no signs of slowing down.
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