“Transgender” and “queer” identities among young Americans, especially at elite institutions, have plummeted since their 2023 peak, according to a Centre for Heterodox Social Science report.
Professor Eric Kaufmann, director and University of Buckingham politics scholar, analyzed surveys like the Foundation for Individual Rights and Expression’s 2025 poll of 68,510 students.
1/ NEW: trans identification is in free fall among the young
(h/t @FIRE data in particular) pic.twitter.com/i0Z1BNcWG8
— Eric Kaufmann (@epkaufm) October 14, 2025
Only 3.6 percent identified as “non-binary” in 2025, down from 6.8 percent in 2023 and 5.2 percent in 2024 — a near-halving in two years.
“The transgender share among university students peaked in 2023 and has almost halved since, from nearly 7 percent to under 4 percent,” Kaufmann wrote.
Elite settings showed sharper declines.
Phillips Academy Andover’s “non-binary” share dropped from 9.2 percent in 2023 to 3 percent in 2025.
Brown University’s fell from 5 percent in 2022-23 to 2.6 percent in 2025.
“The scale of the decline in the student data is considerable, even accounting for variability in the data,” Kaufmann noted.
2/ Non-conforming sexual identity (queer, questioning, etc) is also in sharp decline.
Gay and lesbian are stable while heterosexuality has rebounded by around 10 points since 2023. pic.twitter.com/fKD4G1rwi5
— Eric Kaufmann (@epkaufm) October 14, 2025
Non-heterosexual identification also fell nearly 10 points since 2023, driven by drops in so-called queer, pansexual, asexual, and bisexual categories.
FIRE data showed heterosexuality rebounding from 68 percent in 2023 to 77 percent in 2025.
“The share of students identifying as not heterosexual fell by around 10 points in the same period,” Kaufmann stated.
3/ Not only this, but freshmen in 2024-25 were less trans and queer than seniors whereas it was the reverse when BTQ+ identity was surging in 2022-23.
This suggests that gender/sexual non-conformity will continue to fall. pic.twitter.com/pTW3HcRIhU
— Eric Kaufmann (@epkaufm) October 14, 2025
Freshmen in 2025 were less likely to identify as bisexual, “trans”, “queer”, or “questioning (BTQ)” than seniors, reversing earlier trends.
“Today’s freshmen are less BTQ+ than seniors, suggesting that decline will continue,” he wrote.
Kaufmann explored causes but found no link to politics, religion, or social media.
“The decline in BTQ+ identification does not appear to be connected to lower social media use, religious revival, a shift to the political right or lower support for woke ideology,” he said.
Improved mental health partially explains the shift.
“There is evidence that improved mental health has reduced BTQ+ identification,” Kaufmann noted, citing CDC data showing sadness among LGBT high schoolers dropping from 76 to 65 percent between 2021 and 2023.
4/ What explains the sudden reversal of trans and queer? It’s not because the kids became less woke, more religious or more conservative.
Those beliefs remained stable throughout the 2020s. pic.twitter.com/7GaSpfvATY
— Eric Kaufmann (@epkaufm) October 14, 2025
Yet, the lag between mental health improvements and identity shifts suggests other factors.
5/ Is it improved mental health? Yes, in part. Less anxious and, especially, depressed, students is linked with a smaller share identifying as trans, queer or bisexual. pic.twitter.com/mvVH3P2GFm
— Eric Kaufmann (@epkaufm) October 14, 2025
“Improved youth mental health cannot adequately explain declining trans, queer and bisexual share,” he concluded.
Statistical analysis confirmed that year effects persisted even when controlling for ideology, religion, and mental health.
6/ But not entirely. Mental illness fell after the pandemic but the sexuality and gender shifts happened at least a year later.
All groups, including LGBT, got less mentally ill after the pandemic. pic.twitter.com/doWQ1ChJmw
— Eric Kaufmann (@epkaufm) October 14, 2025
“Year of survey predicts a rise or fall in BTQ+ identity even after controlling for other important factors,” Kaufmann wrote.
He likened the trend to a fading fad, noting, “Trans, queer and bisexual identities are in rapid decline among young educated Americans.”
The transgender-queer wave pushed by Hollywood’s elites, music industry puppets, United Nations globalists, Democrat Party operatives, and corporate overlords is collapsing.
Their relentless propaganda to mutilate our bodies and sterilize our youth is failing.
Human nature — rooted in biology, resilience and facts — stands stronger than their brainwashing schemes. The tide is turning, and their grip is slipping.
This article originally appeared on RiftTV and is republished by The Noticer with permission.
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