One Nation is just six points behind the Coalition and two behind the Liberal Party, according to a new poll that has Pauline Hanson’s resurgent party winning 18% of the vote.
The poll, conducted for The Australian Financial Review by Redbridge and Accent Research between November 7 and November 13, had Labor four points higher than a month earlier on 38%, the Coalition down five points to 24%, the Greens on 9%, and other parties on a combined 11%.
On a two-party preferred basis Labor is leading the Coalition 56 to 44 – a two point swing since October, while Opposition leader Sussan Ley is preferred as prime minister by just 10% voters compared to Anthony Albanese’s 40%.
One Nation was seen as the best party to handle immigration, selected by 27% of voters and followed by Labor on 20%, and the issue was ranked as a top three policy concern by 26% of respondents, behind crime and public safety (29%), housing affordability (35%), healthcare (39%), and cost of living (75%).
Broken down by generation, One Nation has 24% of the Baby Boomer primary vote, 20% of Gen X, 18% of Millennials, and just 5% of Gen Z, who give 51% of their support to Labor, 24% to the Greens, 10% to the Coalition, and 10% to other parties.
Redbridge Group director Kos Samaras said the Coalition was in deep trouble, and its vote was “fragmenting in real time”.
“This is now the lowest combined vote for the conservative side of politics since Federation,” he told The AFR.
“Worse still, once you strip out the Nationals, the Liberal Party is sitting on roughly 20 per cent, propped up in large part by the LNP vote in Queensland.”
Mr Samaras said on X the Liberals were “staring down the prospect of being almost completely wiped out from big-city Australia”, and blamed the results on Ms Ley’s decision to follow the Nationals on energy policy and end “net zero” last week.
“Dump Net Zero. End up with zero seats in the capital cities,” he said.
The Liberals and Nationals met on Sunday to formally endorse a joint policy on climate and energy, and Ms Ley said the Coalition was pivoting away from emissions reductions to reliability and affordability.
“We will prioritise affordable energy for households and businesses,” she said.
During the same press conference Ms Ley said the Opposition would release a new immigration policy in the coming weeks.
“The broad principles of such a policy demonstrates what I have said from the get-go, which is that this country’s migration numbers are far too high and this needs to be addressed as a priority,” she said.
Possible leadership contender Andrew Hastie, who stepped down from the shadow cabinet just weeks ago over Ms Ley’s soft stance on mass migration, also signalled he would continue to speak out on immigration following the net zero decision.
“On Thursday, we hit our first objective on the march to victory. Objective 1: We dumped Net Zero, and committed to delivering cheap and reliable power to the Australian people,” he wrote on social media.
“It’s never easy shattering an elite consensus propped up by deep commercial interests, but we did it.
“Objective 2: Cut Labor’s uncontrolled immigration. This reform needs to happen, and will be the next debate.”
Header image: Left, Pauline Hanson. Right, Sussan Ley at a Diwali event in Queensland (Facebook).
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