This Saturday, Hungary will get a new government under Péter Magyar, the leader of the Tisza party that was elected into power with a landslide victory, winning an unprecedented 141 mandates in the Hungarian National Assembly.
The city of Budapest is expected to turn into a veritable street party this weekend, especially around Kossuth Square, the site of parliament, where the newly elected MPs will convene and elect Magyar as their prime minister.
Since the election on April 12, support for Tisza has grown even more, with the divide between decided voters now 70-23 in favor of Tisza. Last month, with 80 percent voter turnout, 53.18 percent voted for Tisza and 38.61 percent for Viktor Orbán’s Fidesz. A year before the election,
Further analysis prepared for HVG by Median shows that 61 percent of the entire voting age population would vote for the Tisza Party in an election this Sunday, while 21 percent would support Fidesz, a steep fall from the Fidesz election result just a month ago.
The difference is even greater among sure party voters, where 70 percent would support Tisza.
This huge shift in support, which is often seen following elections, is called the “winner’s effect,” and has been seen following elections time after time. The public, even if the voted for the losing candidate, will often shift their support to the winner. Such shifts, however, often quickly dissipate, sometimes very quickly, after the winner assumes office and many of their campaign pledges fail to develop, scandals arise, or the economy fails to improve.
However, poll respondents also appear to have soured on Orbán extremely quickly, with 59 percent of respondents no longer considering him suitable as prime minister and 72 percent considering Péter Magyar a suitable leader.
As to retribution for any alleged misdeeds by Orbán, two-thirds of Hungarian society believes that the former prime minister should be held accountable for his actions in court. Even some Fidesz voters would support such a move.
The perception of the future has also improved dramatically since the elections: 63 percent of those surveyed believe the country is heading in the right direction, while 23 percent see it as heading in the wrong direction.
Péter Magyar also reacted to the results of the research. He wrote on his social media page: “There are no words. TISZA: 70% – Fidesz: 23%. Unprecedented numbers, unprecedented responsibility. The real work begins on 9 May.”
There are no words. TISZA: 70% – Fidesz: 23%. Unprecedented numbers, unprecedented responsibility. The real work begins on 9 May. pic.twitter.com/uGyziWcuzF
— Magyar Péter (Ne féljetek) (@magyarpeterMP) May 6, 2026
Certainly, Magyar will have a full plate. While many on the ground in Budapest have expressed a sense of general relief and hope over the removal of Orbán, there is still a palpable level of skepticism over what the future holds.
With war in Ukraine and Iran, stagnant economies, soaring energy prices, and continued negative repercussions from the mass migration of the last decade, Péter Magyar will have to live up to the expectations and demands of a wide spectrum of people and agendas — starting with Brussels. Notably, his coalition that he built to defeat Orbán is made up of a hodgepodge of ideological camps, and many of them come from the left and far-left.
Meanwhile, Hungarians are anxiously awaiting the billions they believe their country is due from the EU. The EU has already shown signs it plans to play hardball with Hungary’s new leader.
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