Nearly four in 10 new homes built by 2030 will be needed to accommodate migrants arriving in Britain, according to fresh analysis.
The research, conducted by the Conservative Party, draws on projections from the Office for Budget Responsibility’s (OBR) latest Economic and Fiscal Outlook.
According to the OBR, net migration between 2026 and 2030 is expected to reach almost 1.2 million people.
Using ONS data on average household size, the Conservatives estimate this would require around just under 500,000 additional homes for new arrivals alone.
Britain is projected to deliver about 1.34 million new homes over the same period.
The Conservatives say this means 37.1 per cent of all homes built over the next five years would be needed to house migrants.
By 2030, that proportion is forecast to rise to 39.1 per cent.
Government figures also suggest migration-driven demand could increase property prices by around £9,489 per home.
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In 2024, more than 1.3 million people were on social housing waiting lists in England – the highest figure since 2014.
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